Global Warming- Scientific Method and History
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There has been a great deal of talk in the press as of late about Global Warming and as a devote follower of the Scientific method....I'm a skeptic. The Scientific method has 4 parts. 1. Observation-observe a phenomenon or problem 2. Hypothesis- derive a hypothesis to explain the phenomena 3.Prediction- logically predict how the hypothesis will perform using past and present events 4. Experimentation- perform experiments and analyze data to prove or disprove your hypothesis. Most of what I hear today stops with steps 2 . No one has used step 3 to explain warming after prior ice ages or
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So here we are 1. Is the Earth getting warmer? I think the answer is yes. We are now in a warming period coming out of the "little ice age" a cooling period that followed the "Medieval Climate optimum" It's important to note that this occurred prior to the development of the internal combustion
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I think there is a great deal of money involved in this research and you have to go along to get the funds. If we look at this with a logical mind you have to agree that the earth has cooled and warmed many times over the millennia and will continue to do so. If an event occurred in the past and was unassociated with the point of your hypothesis then you have not met all of the requirements of the scientific method. Lastly, does CO2 contribute to global warming."Approximately 99.72% of the "greenhouse effect" is due to natural causes -- mostly water vapor and traces of other gases, which we can do nothing at all about. Eliminating human activity altogether would have little impact on climate change". CO2 levels are mostly dependant upon solar activity and the graphs comparing sun spot activity with CO2 levels mirror each other. I for one am very concerned about pollution, however, I think it's local pollution that is the problem. If we pick up after ourselves and treat this earth as a steward of what God has given us then we will all be much better off. By not acting on how we feel and instead on scientific fact is a good start. This will allow modern society to channel our efforts in a meaningful direction.
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